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Showing posts from November, 2012

AMO AND ANTHROPOGENIC AEROSOLS

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It has been pointed out that the model I described in my earlier post (Climate and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation) ignored anthropogenic aerosols. Here I look at the effect of adding these into the model. Data The data used were downloaded from  http://data.giss.nasa.gov/modelforce/Fe.1880-2011.txt . They were used in J. Hansen, et al. (2007) "Climate simulations for 1880-2003 with GISS model E", Clim Dyn, 29: 661-669 and J. Hansen, et al. (2011) "Earth's energy imbalance and implications, Atmos Chem Phys, 11, 13421-13449. Figure 1 shows the individual components. The individual components are: WMGHGs – Well mixed greenhouse gases O3 - Ozone StrH2O – Stratospheric H­2O ReflAer – Reflective Aerosols AIE – Aerosol indirect effect BC – Black carbon SnowAlb – Snow albedo StrAer – Stratospheric Aerosols (Volcanoes) Solar – Solar irradiance LandUse – Land Use. To run a regression model with these 10 parameters plus the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) woul